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Definitive Analysis

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Lygend Resources & Technology Co., Ltd. (2245.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.46 - $32.37$26.61
Multi-Stage$43.03 - $47.34$45.14
Blended Fair Value$35.88
Current Price$9.32
Upside284.97%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.610.300.040.540.120.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--104.19%596.05%-92.00%342.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--10.01%5.51%0.30%4.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)3,912.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,419.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,492.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)782.48489.05293.43
Cash Retained (M)2,492.512,492.512,492.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-782.48-489.05-293.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,710.032,003.462,199.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,555.931,555.931,555.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.101.291.41
LTM Dividend per Share0.910.910.91
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.101.291.41
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.012.202.33
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$21.46$26.61$32.37
Upside / Downside130.30%185.55%247.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)3,912.403,873.283,834.543,796.203,758.233,720.653,832.27
Payout Ratio36.29%47.03%57.78%68.52%79.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,419.891,821.742,215.422,601.032,978.723,348.593,544.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.18%7.18%7.18%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)1,682.461,699.631,716.80
Year 2 PV (M)1,889.611,928.371,967.52
Year 3 PV (M)2,048.902,112.262,176.92
Year 4 PV (M)2,167.012,256.832,349.40
Year 5 PV (M)2,249.842,367.002,488.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)56,914.6359,878.3162,964.18
Equity Value (M)66,952.4570,242.3973,663.80
Shares Outstanding (M)1,555.931,555.931,555.93
Fair Value$43.03$45.14$47.34
Upside / Downside361.70%384.39%407.98%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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