Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Crystal International Group Limited (2232.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.36 - $2.12$1.71
Multi-Stage$1.64 - $1.80$1.72
Blended Fair Value$1.72
Current Price$0.59
Upside188.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.73%17.34%0.030.020.020.020.010.020.020.020.120.03
YoY Growth--59.91%13.37%-0.72%28.42%-6.25%-23.59%-8.42%-81.52%348.75%293.69%
Dividend Yield--6.10%5.78%6.08%5.67%4.83%3.84%4.09%2.34%12.00%2.67%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)388.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)159.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)229.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)77.7248.5829.15
Cash Retained (M)229.60229.60229.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-77.72-48.58-29.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)151.88181.02200.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,852.822,852.822,852.82
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.050.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.110.120.13
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Fair Value$1.36$1.71$2.12
Upside / Downside128.66%187.84%257.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)388.60399.48410.67422.17434.00446.15459.54
Payout Ratio40.92%50.73%60.55%70.37%80.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)159.00202.67248.66297.07347.99401.54425.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.96%9.96%9.96%
Growth Rate1.80%2.80%3.80%
Year 1 PV (M)182.52184.32186.11
Year 2 PV (M)201.68205.66209.68
Year 3 PV (M)216.99223.45230.03
Year 4 PV (M)228.92238.04247.44
Year 5 PV (M)237.88249.80262.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,619.073,800.343,988.82
Equity Value (M)4,687.054,901.615,124.26
Shares Outstanding (M)2,852.822,852.822,852.82
Fair Value$1.64$1.72$1.80
Upside / Downside176.26%188.90%202.03%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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