Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $4.97 - $7.58 | $6.19 |
| Multi-Stage | $10.94 - $12.02 | $11.47 |
| Blended Fair Value | $8.83 | |
| Current Price | $2.60 | |
| Upside | 239.58% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.32 | 0.16 | 0.09 | 0.16 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 101.75% | 74.95% | -44.48% | 232.35% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 11.94% | 4.06% | 2.42% | 3.14% | 0.41% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 387.02 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 325.70 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 61.32 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 77.40 | 48.38 | 29.03 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 61.32 | 61.32 | 61.32 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -77.40 | -48.38 | -29.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -16.09 | 12.94 | 32.29 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 691.75 | 691.75 | 691.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.47 | 0.47 | 0.47 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.02 | 0.02 | 0.05 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.45 | 0.49 | 0.52 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.83% | 6.83% | 6.83% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $4.97 | $6.19 | $7.58 |
| Upside / Downside | 91.04% | 138.04% | 191.40% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 387.02 | 383.15 | 379.32 | 375.53 | 371.77 | 368.05 | 379.09 |
| Payout Ratio | 84.16% | 85.33% | 86.49% | 87.66% | 88.83% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 325.70 | 326.92 | 328.09 | 329.19 | 330.25 | 331.25 | 350.66 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.83% | 6.83% | 6.83% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 302.93 | 306.02 | 309.11 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 281.69 | 287.47 | 293.31 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 261.90 | 270.00 | 278.27 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 243.46 | 253.55 | 263.95 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 226.27 | 238.05 | 250.32 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 6,253.00 | 6,578.61 | 6,917.64 |
| Equity Value (M) | 7,569.25 | 7,933.70 | 8,312.60 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 691.75 | 691.75 | 691.75 |
| Fair Value | $10.94 | $11.47 | $12.02 |
| Upside / Downside | 320.85% | 341.12% | 362.18% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |