Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $6.41 - $9.71 | $7.96 |
| Multi-Stage | $12.97 - $14.28 | $13.61 |
| Blended Fair Value | $10.79 | |
| Current Price | $2.27 | |
| Upside | 375.21% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 9.49% | 0.00% | 0.17 | 0.10 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.09 | 0.11 | 0.15 | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 64.88% | 195.12% | 1.31% | -63.10% | -13.49% | -28.29% | 812.76% | -45.43% | 20.69% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 9.44% | 4.70% | 1.30% | 1.49% | 4.32% | 5.35% | 6.48% | 0.74% | 1.26% | 1.12% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 2,006.10 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 469.30 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,536.80 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 401.22 | 250.76 | 150.46 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,536.80 | 1,536.80 | 1,536.80 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -401.22 | -250.76 | -150.46 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,135.58 | 1,286.03 | 1,386.34 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,717.75 | 2,717.75 | 2,717.75 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.17 | 0.17 | 0.17 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.42 | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.59 | 0.65 | 0.68 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $6.41 | $7.96 | $9.71 |
| Upside / Downside | 182.29% | 250.74% | 327.79% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 2,006.10 | 1,986.04 | 1,966.18 | 1,946.51 | 1,927.05 | 1,907.78 | 1,965.01 |
| Payout Ratio | 23.39% | 36.71% | 50.04% | 63.36% | 76.68% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 469.30 | 729.17 | 983.80 | 1,233.26 | 1,477.64 | 1,717.00 | 1,817.64 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.03% | 7.03% | 7.03% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 674.39 | 681.27 | 688.15 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 841.53 | 858.79 | 876.23 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 975.66 | 1,005.83 | 1,036.62 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 1,081.16 | 1,125.97 | 1,172.16 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 1,161.91 | 1,222.42 | 1,285.42 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 30,512.71 | 32,101.58 | 33,755.96 |
| Equity Value (M) | 35,247.36 | 36,995.86 | 38,814.53 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,717.75 | 2,717.75 | 2,717.75 |
| Fair Value | $12.97 | $13.61 | $14.28 |
| Upside / Downside | 471.34% | 499.68% | 529.16% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |