Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Analog Devices, Inc. (0HFN.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$120.98 - $383.20$194.72
Multi-Stage$84.30 - $91.85$88.01
Blended Fair Value$141.37
Current Price$234.13
Upside-39.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172017
DPS16.78%14.63%3.873.613.383.112.231.781.571.421.211.03
YoY Growth--7.18%6.93%8.71%39.23%25.19%13.98%10.55%16.81%17.33%4.50%
Dividend Yield--1.65%1.71%2.11%1.82%1.41%1.21%1.43%1.41%1.33%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,267.34
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,924.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)342.93
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)453.47283.42170.05
Cash Retained (M)342.93342.93342.93
(-) Cash Required (M)-453.47-283.42-170.05
(=) Excess Retained (M)-110.5459.51172.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)496.71496.71496.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.220.120.35
LTM Dividend per Share3.873.873.87
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.220.120.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.653.994.22
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$120.98$194.72$383.20
Upside / Downside-48.33%-16.83%63.67%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,267.342,414.722,571.682,738.842,916.863,106.463,199.65
Payout Ratio84.88%85.90%86.93%87.95%88.98%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,924.412,074.252,235.432,408.812,595.282,795.812,959.68

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.68%8.68%8.68%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,890.591,908.511,926.43
Year 2 PV (M)1,857.091,892.461,928.17
Year 3 PV (M)1,823.931,876.291,929.64
Year 4 PV (M)1,791.121,860.001,930.85
Year 5 PV (M)1,758.671,843.611,931.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)32,751.2634,333.1535,975.59
Equity Value (M)41,872.6543,714.0245,622.48
Shares Outstanding (M)496.71496.71496.71
Fair Value$84.30$88.01$91.85
Upside / Downside-63.99%-62.41%-60.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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