Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Iljin Power Co., Ltd. (094820.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7,246.06 - $11,835.33$9,296.70
Multi-Stage$14,827.47 - $16,304.21$15,551.49
Blended Fair Value$12,424.10
Current Price$10,270.00
Upside20.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.53%8.79%322.82322.91322.83284.48284.70314.36209.55188.45159.22158.71
YoY Growth---0.03%0.03%13.48%-0.08%-9.43%50.01%11.20%18.36%0.32%14.20%
Dividend Yield--3.91%2.55%2.15%1.14%4.90%7.61%3.17%3.11%3.25%3.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,795.79
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,745.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,050.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,959.161,224.47734.68
Cash Retained (M)5,050.425,050.425,050.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,959.16-1,224.47-734.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,091.263,825.954,315.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.9114.9114.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share207.37256.66289.52
LTM Dividend per Share318.34318.34318.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share207.37256.66289.52
(=) Adjusted Dividend525.71575.00607.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.78%0.22%1.22%
Fair Value$7,246.06$9,296.70$11,835.33
Upside / Downside-29.44%-9.48%15.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,795.799,817.559,839.359,861.219,883.119,905.0610,202.21
Payout Ratio48.44%56.75%65.07%73.38%81.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,745.375,571.896,402.057,235.888,073.378,914.569,437.05

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-0.78%0.22%1.22%
Year 1 PV (M)5,183.475,235.715,287.95
Year 2 PV (M)5,540.595,652.835,766.20
Year 3 PV (M)5,825.686,003.606,185.11
Year 4 PV (M)6,046.846,294.326,549.32
Year 5 PV (M)6,211.436,530.816,863.20
PV of Terminal Value (M)192,221.11202,104.74212,390.81
Equity Value (M)221,029.12231,822.02243,042.59
Shares Outstanding (M)14.9114.9114.91
Fair Value$14,827.47$15,551.49$16,304.21
Upside / Downside44.38%51.43%58.76%

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