Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Amorepacific Corporation (090430.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Household & Personal ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17,254.15 - $25,199.00$21,090.45
Multi-Stage$30,728.94 - $33,707.10$32,189.33
Blended Fair Value$26,639.89
Current Price$122,300.00
Upside-78.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.97%3.32%914.35681.60987.34794.45992.881,179.591,279.481,579.181,369.97907.92
YoY Growth--34.15%-30.97%24.28%-19.99%-15.83%-7.81%-18.98%15.27%50.89%37.65%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.53%0.72%0.50%0.38%0.70%0.66%0.50%0.49%0.23%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)158,065.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)92,271.01
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,794.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)31,613.0019,758.1311,854.88
Cash Retained (M)65,794.0065,794.0065,794.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-31,613.00-19,758.13-11,854.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)34,181.0046,035.8853,939.13
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.0269.0269.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share495.22666.98781.48
LTM Dividend per Share1,336.841,336.841,336.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share495.22666.98781.48
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,832.072,003.822,118.33
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate-1.97%-0.97%0.03%
Fair Value$17,254.15$21,090.45$25,199.00
Upside / Downside-85.89%-82.76%-79.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)158,065.02156,529.61155,009.12153,503.40152,012.30150,535.69155,051.76
Payout Ratio58.38%64.70%71.03%77.35%83.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)92,271.01101,275.10110,095.55118,735.09127,196.40135,482.12143,422.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.44%8.44%8.44%
Growth Rate-1.97%-0.97%0.03%
Year 1 PV (M)92,451.8693,394.9794,338.08
Year 2 PV (M)91,747.8193,629.2295,529.72
Year 3 PV (M)90,327.0893,119.6995,969.26
Year 4 PV (M)88,333.7591,993.6995,766.19
Year 5 PV (M)85,890.8390,362.0395,017.53
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,672,206.541,759,256.271,849,894.06
Equity Value (M)2,120,957.872,221,755.862,326,514.84
Shares Outstanding (M)69.0269.0269.02
Fair Value$30,728.94$32,189.33$33,707.10
Upside / Downside-74.87%-73.68%-72.44%

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