Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ncsoft Corporation (036570.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$294,927.47 - $614,752.57$416,189.58
Multi-Stage$1,371,563.77 - $1,518,265.52$1,443,418.61
Blended Fair Value$929,804.09
Current Price$216,000.00
Upside330.46%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.59%18.18%3,277.396,993.996,135.459,084.135,546.106,423.287,976.144,183.313,096.783,539.06
YoY Growth---53.14%13.99%-32.46%63.79%-13.66%-19.47%90.67%35.09%-12.50%473.62%
Dividend Yield--2.19%3.40%1.65%1.94%0.64%0.99%1.63%1.00%1.02%1.40%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)341,592.84
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28,314.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)313,278.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68,318.5742,699.1125,619.46
Cash Retained (M)313,278.38313,278.38313,278.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-68,318.57-42,699.11-25,619.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)244,959.81270,579.27287,658.91
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.4019.4019.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share12,629.5613,950.4414,831.03
LTM Dividend per Share1,459.831,459.831,459.83
(+) Excess Retained per Share12,629.5613,950.4414,831.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend14,089.3915,410.2716,290.86
WACC / Discount Rate1.12%1.12%1.12%
Growth Rate-3.49%-2.49%-1.49%
Fair Value$294,927.47$416,189.58$614,752.57
Upside / Downside36.54%92.68%184.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)341,592.84333,085.26324,789.57316,700.49308,812.87301,121.70310,155.35
Payout Ratio8.29%24.63%40.97%57.32%73.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28,314.4682,042.77133,077.24181,518.72227,464.74271,009.53286,893.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.12%1.12%1.12%
Growth Rate-3.49%-2.49%-1.49%
Year 1 PV (M)80,302.0681,134.1381,966.19
Year 2 PV (M)127,490.13130,145.84132,828.93
Year 3 PV (M)170,208.25175,554.19181,010.92
Year 4 PV (M)208,765.94217,554.02226,616.68
Year 5 PV (M)243,453.78256,330.84269,747.11
PV of Terminal Value (M)25,772,287.9027,135,467.4628,555,728.72
Equity Value (M)26,602,508.0627,996,186.4829,447,898.54
Shares Outstanding (M)19.4019.4019.40
Fair Value$1,371,563.77$1,443,418.61$1,518,265.52
Upside / Downside534.98%568.25%602.90%

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