Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KC Co., Ltd. (029460.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$277,206.29 - $1,331,619.21$600,751.78
Multi-Stage$145,462.26 - $159,267.08$152,237.84
Blended Fair Value$376,494.81
Current Price$26,150.00
Upside1,339.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.80%7.05%418.78461.34378.63333.45278.03287.66227.72442.52436.89287.04
YoY Growth---9.23%21.84%13.55%19.94%-3.35%26.32%-48.54%1.29%52.21%35.47%
Dividend Yield--2.36%1.90%1.73%1.48%1.02%2.27%1.40%1.91%1.29%0.78%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74,922.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,079.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)69,842.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,984.449,365.285,619.17
Cash Retained (M)69,842.7869,842.7869,842.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,984.44-9,365.28-5,619.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)54,858.3460,477.5164,223.62
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.1911.1911.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share4,902.665,404.845,739.63
LTM Dividend per Share453.95453.95453.95
(+) Excess Retained per Share4,902.665,404.845,739.63
(=) Adjusted Dividend5,356.615,858.796,193.58
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$277,206.29$600,751.78$1,331,619.21
Upside / Downside960.06%2,197.33%4,992.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74,922.2079,792.1584,978.6490,502.2596,384.89102,649.91105,729.41
Payout Ratio6.78%23.42%40.07%56.71%73.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,079.4218,690.2534,049.0351,325.4970,704.0292,384.9297,799.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.54%7.54%7.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17,216.8417,380.0317,543.23
Year 2 PV (M)28,892.2529,442.5729,998.08
Year 3 PV (M)40,118.8141,270.4842,443.98
Year 4 PV (M)50,909.3452,867.1754,880.93
Year 5 PV (M)61,276.3364,236.0067,308.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,429,236.431,498,269.081,569,943.78
Equity Value (M)1,627,650.011,703,465.341,782,118.95
Shares Outstanding (M)11.1911.1911.19
Fair Value$145,462.26$152,237.84$159,267.08
Upside / Downside456.26%482.17%509.05%

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