Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Korea Electric Power Corporation (015760.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$657,895.74 - $2,492,807.46$1,922,917.55
Multi-Stage$730,485.89 - $803,236.68$766,167.39
Blended Fair Value$1,344,542.47
Current Price$39,300.00
Upside3,321.23%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS5.02%-3.80%197.6870.6065.971,265.12126.64154.77933.682,087.953,253.19638.48
YoY Growth--180.00%7.03%-94.79%898.99%-18.18%-83.42%-55.28%-35.82%409.52%119.21%
Dividend Yield--0.91%0.32%0.37%5.59%0.55%0.80%3.08%6.36%7.00%1.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,237,058.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)256,967.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,980,091.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,647,411.601,029,632.25617,779.35
Cash Retained (M)7,980,091.007,980,091.007,980,091.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,647,411.60-1,029,632.25-617,779.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,332,679.406,950,458.757,362,311.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)641.96641.96641.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share9,864.5410,826.8711,468.42
LTM Dividend per Share400.28400.28400.28
(+) Excess Retained per Share9,864.5410,826.8711,468.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend10,264.8211,227.1511,868.70
WACC / Discount Rate4.62%4.62%4.62%
Growth Rate3.02%4.02%5.02%
Fair Value$657,895.74$1,922,917.55$2,492,807.46
Upside / Downside1,574.03%4,792.92%6,243.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,237,058.008,567,859.968,911,946.999,269,852.639,642,131.8410,029,361.8510,330,242.71
Payout Ratio3.12%20.50%37.87%55.25%72.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)256,967.001,756,044.273,375,113.605,121,395.037,002,494.999,026,425.679,555,474.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.62%4.62%4.62%
Growth Rate3.02%4.02%5.02%
Year 1 PV (M)1,662,307.871,678,444.271,694,580.67
Year 2 PV (M)3,024,408.133,083,410.363,142,982.57
Year 3 PV (M)4,344,264.694,472,009.054,602,233.42
Year 4 PV (M)5,622,854.035,844,383.026,072,394.26
Year 5 PV (M)6,861,132.627,200,673.847,553,526.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)447,430,674.76469,572,960.39492,583,311.87
Equity Value (M)468,945,642.11491,851,880.93515,649,029.23
Shares Outstanding (M)641.96641.96641.96
Fair Value$730,485.89$766,167.39$803,236.68
Upside / Downside1,758.74%1,849.54%1,943.86%

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