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Definitive Analysis

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Hanwha Aerospace Co., Ltd. (012450.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,329,804.29 - $10,992,090.22$10,301,198.31
Multi-Stage$1,955,186.60 - $2,143,135.70$2,047,421.01
Blended Fair Value$6,174,309.66
Current Price$1,107,000.00
Upside457.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS73.06%16.25%2,527.291,067.23747.06640.85367.88162.8110.450.00336.3812.80
YoY Growth--136.81%42.86%16.57%74.20%125.95%1,458.66%0.00%-100.00%2,528.14%-97.72%
Dividend Yield--0.41%0.52%0.76%1.24%0.91%0.80%0.03%0.00%0.72%0.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,618,963.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)223,787.69
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,395,176.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)523,792.79327,370.49196,422.30
Cash Retained (M)2,395,176.262,395,176.262,395,176.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-523,792.79-327,370.49-196,422.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,871,383.472,067,805.772,198,753.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)47.3847.3847.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share39,494.2043,639.5646,403.12
LTM Dividend per Share4,722.884,722.884,722.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share39,494.2043,639.5646,403.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend44,217.0848,362.4351,126.00
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$9,329,804.29$10,301,198.31$10,992,090.22
Upside / Downside742.80%830.55%892.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,618,963.952,789,196.602,970,494.383,163,576.523,369,208.993,588,207.573,695,853.80
Payout Ratio8.54%24.84%41.13%57.42%73.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)223,787.69692,722.501,221,673.331,816,461.022,483,409.543,229,386.823,418,664.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.88%5.88%5.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)648,131.86654,275.29660,418.72
Year 2 PV (M)1,069,456.811,089,826.961,110,389.28
Year 3 PV (M)1,487,778.641,530,487.421,574,005.82
Year 4 PV (M)1,903,113.381,976,301.752,051,581.06
Year 5 PV (M)2,315,476.962,427,315.372,543,434.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)85,220,115.2289,336,278.6593,609,977.34
Equity Value (M)92,644,072.8897,014,485.44101,549,806.31
Shares Outstanding (M)47.3847.3847.38
Fair Value$1,955,186.60$2,047,421.01$2,143,135.70
Upside / Downside76.62%84.95%93.60%

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