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Definitive Analysis

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GS Engineering & Construction Corporation (006360.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,338.69 - $21,618.29$14,603.93
Multi-Stage$15,320.89 - $16,784.70$16,039.02
Blended Fair Value$15,321.48
Current Price$20,750.00
Upside-26.16%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-17.15%35.80%381.611,592.131,408.761,420.151,050.29977.85248.198.489.6612.76
YoY Growth---76.03%13.02%-0.80%35.21%7.41%293.99%2,826.47%-12.20%-24.33%-28.64%
Dividend Yield--2.25%10.57%6.82%3.06%2.44%4.77%0.58%0.03%0.03%0.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,401.52
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45,211.26
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,190.26
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,880.306,175.193,705.11
Cash Retained (M)4,190.264,190.264,190.26
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,880.30-6,175.19-3,705.11
(=) Excess Retained (M)-5,690.04-1,984.93485.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)84.9084.9084.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share-67.02-23.385.71
LTM Dividend per Share532.54532.54532.54
(+) Excess Retained per Share-67.02-23.385.71
(=) Adjusted Dividend465.52509.16538.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Fair Value$10,338.69$14,603.93$21,618.29
Upside / Downside-50.18%-29.62%4.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,401.5250,802.0052,242.1953,723.2055,246.2056,812.3858,516.75
Payout Ratio91.52%91.21%90.91%90.61%90.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45,211.2646,338.7247,493.7748,677.0849,889.3051,131.1454,127.99

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate1.83%2.83%3.83%
Year 1 PV (M)43,119.7443,543.1743,966.59
Year 2 PV (M)41,124.5241,936.1642,755.72
Year 3 PV (M)39,221.1940,388.0141,577.74
Year 4 PV (M)37,405.5338,896.5740,431.76
Year 5 PV (M)35,673.5137,459.7939,316.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,104,160.511,159,449.011,216,930.43
Equity Value (M)1,300,705.001,361,672.701,424,979.15
Shares Outstanding (M)84.9084.9084.90
Fair Value$15,320.89$16,039.02$16,784.70
Upside / Downside-26.16%-22.70%-19.11%

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