Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Beijing Beimo High-tech Frictional Material Co.,Ltd (002985.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Aerospace & DefenseSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.27 - $1.82$1.54
Multi-Stage$2.05 - $2.25$2.15
Blended Fair Value$1.84
Current Price$29.21
Upside-93.69%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.420.000.150.140.450.000.030.170.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%11.39%-69.54%0.00%-100.00%-80.53%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.66%0.00%0.33%0.25%0.68%0.00%0.22%1.15%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)60.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.42
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.097.564.53
Cash Retained (M)39.0239.0239.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.09-7.56-4.53
(=) Excess Retained (M)26.9331.4634.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)332.40332.40332.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.090.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.150.160.17
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.27$1.54$1.82
Upside / Downside-95.66%-94.73%-93.77%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)60.4459.8459.2458.6558.0657.4859.21
Payout Ratio35.45%46.36%57.27%68.18%79.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.4227.7433.9339.9945.9251.7354.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.24%9.24%9.24%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.1425.3925.65
Year 2 PV (M)27.8628.4329.01
Year 3 PV (M)29.7530.6831.61
Year 4 PV (M)30.9732.2533.57
Year 5 PV (M)31.6133.2634.97
PV of Terminal Value (M)536.54564.47593.57
Equity Value (M)681.87714.48748.38
Shares Outstanding (M)332.40332.40332.40
Fair Value$2.05$2.15$2.25
Upside / Downside-92.98%-92.64%-92.29%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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