Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

ShenZhen Click Technology Co.,LTD. (002782.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.45 - $126.13$42.70
Multi-Stage$12.94 - $14.15$13.53
Blended Fair Value$28.12
Current Price$16.90
Upside66.38%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.12%15.19%0.090.110.070.150.090.090.170.090.030.02
YoY Growth---13.15%59.84%-54.83%68.64%0.00%-50.00%100.00%150.00%48.61%4.73%
Dividend Yield--0.70%0.94%0.36%1.35%0.71%0.92%1.11%0.59%0.15%0.17%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)310.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)75.88
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.0338.7723.26
Cash Retained (M)234.29234.29234.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.03-38.77-23.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)172.25195.52211.02
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)489.04489.04489.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.350.400.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.510.550.59
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.45$42.70$126.13
Upside / Downside32.86%152.68%646.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)310.16330.33351.80374.66399.02424.95437.70
Payout Ratio24.46%37.57%50.68%63.79%76.89%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)75.88124.11178.28238.98306.81382.46404.87

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.88%7.88%7.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)113.96115.04116.12
Year 2 PV (M)150.32153.18156.07
Year 3 PV (M)185.01190.32195.73
Year 4 PV (M)218.10226.49235.12
Year 5 PV (M)249.64261.70274.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,410.855,672.205,943.55
Equity Value (M)6,327.886,618.926,920.80
Shares Outstanding (M)489.04489.04489.04
Fair Value$12.94$13.53$14.15
Upside / Downside-23.44%-19.91%-16.26%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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