Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Beijing Bewinner Communications Co., Ltd. (002148.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Telecommunications ServicesSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.14 - $0.20$0.17
Multi-Stage$0.23 - $0.26$0.24
Blended Fair Value$0.21
Current Price$9.46
Upside-97.79%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-9.81%-7.61%0.010.010.030.010.000.020.080.050.000.00
YoY Growth--48.48%-68.13%217.00%0.00%-100.00%-69.31%61.59%0.00%-100.00%-86.73%
Dividend Yield--0.22%0.18%0.48%0.17%0.00%0.55%1.10%0.59%0.00%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.471.540.93
Cash Retained (M)3.413.413.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.47-1.54-0.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.941.872.49
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)558.92558.92558.92
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.000.000.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.020.020.02
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.14$0.17$0.20
Upside / Downside-98.47%-98.16%-97.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.3512.2312.1011.9811.8611.7412.10
Payout Ratio72.36%75.89%79.42%82.94%86.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.949.289.619.9410.2610.5711.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.358.438.52
Year 2 PV (M)7.787.948.11
Year 3 PV (M)7.247.477.70
Year 4 PV (M)6.737.017.29
Year 5 PV (M)6.246.566.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)94.3599.26104.38
Equity Value (M)130.69136.68142.89
Shares Outstanding (M)558.92558.92558.92
Fair Value$0.23$0.24$0.26
Upside / Downside-97.53%-97.42%-97.30%

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