Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangxi Bestoo Ene (001376.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$22.55 - $75.38$70.64
Multi-Stage$9.81 - $10.73$10.26
Blended Fair Value$40.45
Current Price$12.50
Upside223.61%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820142013
DPS41.91%0.00%0.160.100.030.030.030.030.010.010.010.00
YoY Growth--63.09%294.43%-27.33%1.69%21.06%402.53%-36.53%31.94%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.59%0.07%0.09%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)174.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)123.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.9021.8113.09
Cash Retained (M)123.80123.80123.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.90-21.81-13.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.91101.99110.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)460.35460.35460.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$22.55$70.64$75.38
Upside / Downside80.37%465.12%503.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)174.48185.82197.90210.76224.46239.05246.22
Payout Ratio29.04%41.24%53.43%65.62%77.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.6876.62105.73138.30174.65215.15227.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.92%6.92%6.92%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)70.9971.6772.34
Year 2 PV (M)90.7692.4994.23
Year 3 PV (M)109.99113.15116.37
Year 4 PV (M)128.70133.65138.74
Year 5 PV (M)146.89153.98161.35
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,967.904,159.554,358.54
Equity Value (M)4,515.234,724.484,941.56
Shares Outstanding (M)460.35460.35460.35
Fair Value$9.81$10.26$10.73
Upside / Downside-21.53%-17.90%-14.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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