Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Wuxi Chemical Equipment Co., Ltd. (001332.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$181.88 - $445.54$417.53
Multi-Stage$65.21 - $71.35$68.22
Blended Fair Value$242.88
Current Price$64.79
Upside274.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162014
DPS16.40%0.00%0.990.731.810.820.000.460.000.000.010.20
YoY Growth--36.25%-60.00%122.22%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-96.87%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.58%2.57%3.55%1.49%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.37%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)247.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)110.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)137.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)49.4030.8718.52
Cash Retained (M)137.00137.00137.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-49.40-30.87-18.52
(=) Excess Retained (M)87.60106.12118.47
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)110.25110.25110.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.961.07
LTM Dividend per Share1.001.001.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.961.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.791.962.07
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$181.88$417.53$445.54
Upside / Downside180.72%544.44%587.66%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)247.00263.05280.15298.36317.75338.41348.56
Payout Ratio44.53%53.63%62.72%71.81%80.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)110.00141.07175.71214.26257.09304.57322.42

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)131.17132.41133.65
Year 2 PV (M)151.91154.80157.72
Year 3 PV (M)172.24177.18182.22
Year 4 PV (M)192.15199.54207.14
Year 5 PV (M)211.66221.89232.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,330.306,636.066,953.52
Equity Value (M)7,189.437,521.887,866.76
Shares Outstanding (M)110.25110.25110.25
Fair Value$65.21$68.22$71.35
Upside / Downside0.65%5.30%10.13%

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