Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Weifu High-Technology Group Co., Ltd. (000581.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$35.86 - $94.37$54.70
Multi-Stage$41.59 - $45.55$43.53
Blended Fair Value$49.12
Current Price$23.04
Upside113.18%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.38%13.89%1.240.201.761.591.141.271.260.630.530.44
YoY Growth--530.72%-88.77%10.29%40.09%-10.38%0.33%99.69%19.16%21.41%29.06%
Dividend Yield--5.83%1.14%8.69%8.01%4.80%6.67%5.37%2.81%2.32%2.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,534.25
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,099.44
(=) Cash Retained (M)434.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)306.85191.78115.07
Cash Retained (M)434.81434.81434.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-306.85-191.78-115.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)127.96243.03319.74
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)972.51972.51972.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
LTM Dividend per Share1.131.131.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.130.250.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.261.381.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.92%3.92%4.92%
Fair Value$35.86$54.70$94.37
Upside / Downside55.64%137.43%309.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,534.251,594.351,656.811,721.711,789.151,859.241,915.02
Payout Ratio71.66%75.33%79.00%82.66%86.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,099.441,200.991,308.811,423.231,544.611,673.321,771.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate2.92%3.92%4.92%
Year 1 PV (M)1,116.421,127.271,138.12
Year 2 PV (M)1,130.981,153.061,175.36
Year 3 PV (M)1,143.251,176.901,211.21
Year 4 PV (M)1,153.391,198.871,245.69
Year 5 PV (M)1,161.511,219.051,278.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,737.4336,458.1838,246.46
Equity Value (M)40,442.9942,333.3444,295.69
Shares Outstanding (M)972.51972.51972.51
Fair Value$41.59$43.53$45.55
Upside / Downside80.50%88.93%97.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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