Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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GAON CABLE Co., Ltd. (000500.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$112,981.80 - $658,935.98$209,338.70
Multi-Stage$74,860.87 - $81,952.27$78,341.23
Blended Fair Value$143,839.97
Current Price$55,400.00
Upside159.64%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0010.49111.43159.18159.20159.07159.07159.07159.07159.07
YoY Growth---100.00%-90.59%-30.00%-0.01%0.08%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-40.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.04%0.73%0.73%0.68%1.45%1.16%0.87%0.89%1.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,368.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12,113.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,255.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,873.716,171.073,702.64
Cash Retained (M)37,255.3437,255.3437,255.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,873.71-6,171.07-3,702.64
(=) Excess Retained (M)27,381.6331,084.2733,552.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)14.8114.8114.81
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,848.522,098.482,265.12
LTM Dividend per Share817.76817.76817.76
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,848.522,098.482,265.12
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,666.272,916.243,082.88
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Fair Value$112,981.80$209,338.70$658,935.98
Upside / Downside103.94%277.87%1,089.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,368.5652,266.6155,334.7858,583.0662,022.0265,662.8567,632.74
Payout Ratio24.54%37.63%50.72%63.81%76.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12,113.2219,667.4228,066.7937,384.5047,699.4359,096.5762,560.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.35%7.35%7.35%
Growth Rate4.87%5.87%6.87%
Year 1 PV (M)18,148.6218,321.6818,494.74
Year 2 PV (M)23,899.3024,357.2624,819.57
Year 3 PV (M)29,375.1630,223.5331,088.07
Year 4 PV (M)34,585.8235,924.0037,300.64
Year 5 PV (M)39,540.6141,462.1343,457.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)963,345.821,010,160.531,058,777.82
Equity Value (M)1,108,895.341,160,449.131,213,938.46
Shares Outstanding (M)14.8114.8114.81
Fair Value$74,860.87$78,341.23$81,952.27
Upside / Downside35.13%41.41%47.93%

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