Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (WRT1V.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$70.69 - $180.52$169.11
Multi-Stage$88.75 - $97.77$93.17
Blended Fair Value$131.14
Current Price$20.04
Upside554.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.34%-0.84%0.330.260.240.200.480.480.460.450.420.41
YoY Growth--26.80%6.99%20.17%-58.25%0.35%3.65%3.79%5.60%3.31%14.69%
Dividend Yield--2.00%1.82%2.78%2.42%5.39%7.17%3.14%2.48%2.52%3.08%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)561.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)227.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)334.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)112.2070.1342.08
Cash Retained (M)334.00334.00334.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-112.20-70.13-42.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)221.80263.88291.93
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)592.41592.41592.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.370.450.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.370.450.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.760.830.88
WACC / Discount Rate2.13%2.13%2.13%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Fair Value$70.69$169.11$180.52
Upside / Downside252.72%743.85%800.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)561.00572.46584.15596.08608.25620.67639.29
Payout Ratio40.46%50.37%60.28%70.19%80.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)227.00288.35352.11418.36487.17558.61591.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.13%2.13%2.13%
Growth Rate1.04%2.04%3.04%
Year 1 PV (M)279.58282.35285.12
Year 2 PV (M)331.03337.61344.26
Year 3 PV (M)381.35392.78404.44
Year 4 PV (M)430.56447.86465.68
Year 5 PV (M)478.69502.85527.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,674.8453,232.5755,892.56
Equity Value (M)52,576.0555,196.0357,920.04
Shares Outstanding (M)592.41592.41592.41
Fair Value$88.75$93.17$97.77
Upside / Downside342.86%364.93%387.88%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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