Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $405.45 - $1,066.47 | $618.37 |
| Multi-Stage | $302.68 - $331.35 | $316.75 |
| Blended Fair Value | $467.56 | |
| Current Price | $137.09 | |
| Upside | 241.06% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 1.53 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.97% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 122.63 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 9.29 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 113.34 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 24.53 | 15.33 | 9.20 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 113.34 | 113.34 | 113.34 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -24.53 | -15.33 | -9.20 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 88.81 | 98.01 | 104.14 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 7.00 | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 12.69 | 14.00 | 14.88 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 12.69 | 14.00 | 14.88 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 14.01 | 15.33 | 16.20 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.45% | 8.45% | 8.45% |
| Growth Rate | 4.83% | 5.83% | 6.83% |
| Fair Value | $405.45 | $618.37 | $1,066.47 |
| Upside / Downside | 195.75% | 351.07% | 677.94% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 122.63 | 129.78 | 137.34 | 145.34 | 153.81 | 162.77 | 167.65 |
| Payout Ratio | 7.58% | 24.06% | 40.55% | 57.03% | 73.52% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 9.29 | 31.23 | 55.69 | 82.89 | 113.07 | 146.49 | 155.08 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.45% | 8.45% | 8.45% |
| Growth Rate | 4.83% | 5.83% | 6.83% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 28.52 | 28.79 | 29.07 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 46.46 | 47.35 | 48.25 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 63.16 | 64.98 | 66.84 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 78.70 | 81.74 | 84.88 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 93.12 | 97.65 | 102.35 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,809.11 | 1,897.07 | 1,988.41 |
| Equity Value (M) | 2,119.07 | 2,217.58 | 2,319.79 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 7.00 | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| Fair Value | $302.68 | $316.75 | $331.35 |
| Upside / Downside | 120.79% | 131.05% | 141.70% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |