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Definitive Analysis

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Vitreous Glass Inc. (VCI.V)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.72 - $7.78$6.08
Multi-Stage$9.25 - $10.14$9.69
Blended Fair Value$7.88
Current Price$5.99
Upside31.62%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.18%0.00%0.400.420.330.540.300.380.340.340.000.00
YoY Growth---4.12%27.35%-40.00%83.33%-21.05%11.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.41%7.15%7.78%11.90%7.49%10.40%9.46%8.86%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.24
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.530.330.20
Cash Retained (M)0.240.240.24
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.53-0.33-0.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)-0.29-0.090.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.346.346.34
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.010.01
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.05-0.010.01
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.330.360.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Fair Value$4.72$6.08$7.78
Upside / Downside-21.15%1.54%29.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2.642.662.682.692.712.732.81
Payout Ratio91.09%90.87%90.65%90.44%90.22%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.412.422.432.442.452.452.60

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.66%6.66%6.66%
Growth Rate-0.37%0.63%1.63%
Year 1 PV (M)2.242.272.29
Year 2 PV (M)2.092.132.18
Year 3 PV (M)1.952.012.07
Year 4 PV (M)1.821.891.97
Year 5 PV (M)1.691.781.87
PV of Terminal Value (M)48.8651.3653.97
Equity Value (M)58.6561.4464.33
Shares Outstanding (M)6.346.346.34
Fair Value$9.25$9.69$10.14
Upside / Downside54.37%61.71%69.33%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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