Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $5.51 - $8.23 | $6.80 |
| Multi-Stage | $11.03 - $12.10 | $11.55 |
| Blended Fair Value | $9.18 | |
| Current Price | $7.78 | |
| Upside | 17.99% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.41 | 0.24 | 0.24 | 0.21 | 0.49 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 67.35% | 2.01% | 17.09% | -58.30% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 5.27% | 4.95% | 8.05% | 5.06% | 6.56% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 51.61 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 41.81 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 9.80 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 10.32 | 6.45 | 3.87 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 9.80 | 9.80 | 9.80 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -10.32 | -6.45 | -3.87 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -0.52 | 3.35 | 5.93 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 76.76 | 76.76 | 76.76 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.54 | 0.54 | 0.54 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.08 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.54 | 0.59 | 0.62 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.56% | 7.56% | 7.56% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $5.51 | $6.80 | $8.23 |
| Upside / Downside | -29.12% | -12.54% | 5.75% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 51.61 | 51.10 | 50.58 | 50.08 | 49.58 | 49.08 | 50.55 |
| Payout Ratio | 81.02% | 82.81% | 84.61% | 86.41% | 88.20% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 41.81 | 42.31 | 42.80 | 43.27 | 43.73 | 44.17 | 46.76 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.56% | 7.56% | 7.56% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 38.94 | 39.34 | 39.74 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 36.25 | 37.00 | 37.75 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 33.73 | 34.77 | 35.84 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 31.37 | 32.67 | 34.01 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 29.17 | 30.69 | 32.27 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 677.24 | 712.51 | 749.23 |
| Equity Value (M) | 846.71 | 886.98 | 928.83 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 76.76 | 76.76 | 76.76 |
| Fair Value | $11.03 | $11.55 | $12.10 |
| Upside / Downside | 41.77% | 48.52% | 55.52% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |