Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $26.67 - $40.29 | $33.09 |
| Multi-Stage | $55.13 - $60.59 | $57.81 |
| Blended Fair Value | $45.45 | |
| Current Price | $13.57 | |
| Upside | 234.93% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 48.91% | 26.75% | 1.81 | 0.15 | 0.61 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.22 | 0.25 | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1,118.49% | -75.59% | 145.11% | -0.63% | 1.07% | 13.42% | -14.46% | 8.79% | 18.02% | 17.30% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 13.34% | 1.25% | 5.85% | 2.89% | 2.30% | 2.67% | 2.28% | 2.52% | 2.34% | 2.11% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 349.34 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 210.11 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 139.23 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 69.87 | 43.67 | 26.20 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 139.23 | 139.23 | 139.23 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -69.87 | -43.67 | -26.20 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 69.36 | 95.56 | 113.03 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 112.52 | 112.52 | 112.52 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.62 | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.87 | 1.87 | 1.87 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.62 | 0.85 | 1.00 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.48 | 2.72 | 2.87 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.13% | 7.13% | 7.13% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Fair Value | $26.67 | $33.09 | $40.29 |
| Upside / Downside | 96.52% | 143.85% | 196.92% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 349.34 | 345.85 | 342.39 | 338.97 | 335.58 | 332.22 | 342.19 |
| Payout Ratio | 60.14% | 66.12% | 72.09% | 78.06% | 84.03% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 210.11 | 228.66 | 246.82 | 264.59 | 281.98 | 299.00 | 316.52 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.13% | 7.13% | 7.13% |
| Growth Rate | -2.00% | -1.00% | 0.00% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 211.29 | 213.45 | 215.60 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 210.74 | 215.07 | 219.43 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 208.76 | 215.21 | 221.80 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 205.58 | 214.10 | 222.88 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 201.43 | 211.91 | 222.83 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 5,165.71 | 5,434.70 | 5,714.78 |
| Equity Value (M) | 6,203.51 | 6,504.44 | 6,817.33 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 112.52 | 112.52 | 112.52 |
| Fair Value | $55.13 | $57.81 | $60.59 |
| Upside / Downside | 306.29% | 326.00% | 346.50% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |