Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Sembcorp Industries Ltd (U96.SI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.35 - $8.90$7.62
Multi-Stage$18.63 - $20.61$19.60
Blended Fair Value$13.61
Current Price$6.85
Upside98.72%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS28.63%-4.43%0.140.130.070.060.030.040.040.090.120.17
YoY Growth--8.23%84.80%16.82%98.15%-23.94%0.00%-57.49%-23.16%-29.95%-21.09%
Dividend Yield--2.51%2.39%2.05%2.96%1.75%3.42%3.09%5.96%8.41%11.22%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,959.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)569.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,390.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)391.80244.88146.93
Cash Retained (M)1,390.001,390.001,390.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-391.80-244.88-146.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)998.201,145.131,243.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,807.151,807.151,807.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.630.69
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.630.69
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.870.951.00
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-6.43%-5.43%-4.43%
Fair Value$6.35$7.62$8.90
Upside / Downside-7.23%11.26%29.90%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,959.001,852.711,752.191,657.121,567.211,482.181,526.64
Payout Ratio29.05%41.24%53.43%65.62%77.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)569.00763.99936.151,087.371,219.431,333.961,412.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-6.43%-5.43%-4.43%
Year 1 PV (M)710.81718.41726.01
Year 2 PV (M)810.36827.77845.37
Year 3 PV (M)875.75904.13933.11
Year 4 PV (M)913.75953.44994.41
Year 5 PV (M)930.00980.761,033.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,435.2031,042.0032,718.22
Equity Value (M)33,675.8735,426.5237,250.85
Shares Outstanding (M)1,807.151,807.151,807.15
Fair Value$18.63$19.60$20.61
Upside / Downside172.04%186.18%200.92%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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