Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $5.48 - $8.99 | $7.04 |
| Multi-Stage | $11.54 - $12.68 | $12.10 |
| Blended Fair Value | $9.57 | |
| Current Price | $3.00 | |
| Upside | 218.95% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 0.00% | 0.00% | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.58 | 0.52 | 0.48 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 25.08% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 0.00% | 0.00% | -100.00% | -33.46% | 11.11% | 8.01% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 6.28% | 5.04% | 0.00% | 5.91% | 0.00% | 0.00% | 7.69% | 4.36% | 3.55% | 3.40% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 204.58 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 125.20 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 79.38 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 40.92 | 25.57 | 15.34 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 79.38 | 79.38 | 79.38 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -40.92 | -25.57 | -15.34 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 38.46 | 53.81 | 64.04 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 417.06 | 417.06 | 417.06 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.30 | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.15 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.45 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | -0.80% | 0.20% | 1.20% |
| Fair Value | $5.48 | $7.04 | $8.99 |
| Upside / Downside | 82.52% | 134.64% | 199.55% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 204.58 | 205.00 | 205.41 | 205.83 | 206.24 | 206.66 | 212.86 |
| Payout Ratio | 61.20% | 66.96% | 72.72% | 78.48% | 84.24% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 125.20 | 137.26 | 149.37 | 161.53 | 173.74 | 186.00 | 196.90 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | -0.80% | 0.20% | 1.20% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 127.82 | 129.11 | 130.40 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 129.54 | 132.16 | 134.81 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 130.45 | 134.43 | 138.50 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 130.66 | 136.01 | 141.52 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 130.26 | 136.96 | 143.93 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 4,162.74 | 4,376.82 | 4,599.62 |
| Equity Value (M) | 4,811.46 | 5,045.49 | 5,288.78 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 417.06 | 417.06 | 417.06 |
| Fair Value | $11.54 | $12.10 | $12.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 284.55% | 303.26% | 322.70% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |