Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Supply Network Limited (SNL.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$139.21 - $340.37$318.97
Multi-Stage$50.61 - $55.33$52.93
Blended Fair Value$185.95
Current Price$37.39
Upside397.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS35.43%8.79%0.650.500.380.230.160.140.130.110.090.09
YoY Growth--30.80%29.74%67.47%41.31%13.43%7.13%27.27%15.81%5.53%-69.40%
Dividend Yield--1.75%2.32%2.52%2.43%2.13%3.43%3.78%2.48%3.60%4.09%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.05
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)49.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.619.135.48
Cash Retained (M)23.9023.9023.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.61-9.13-5.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)9.2914.7718.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)42.6842.6842.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.220.350.43
LTM Dividend per Share1.151.151.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.220.350.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.371.501.58
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$139.21$318.97$340.37
Upside / Downside272.32%753.09%810.31%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.0577.8082.8588.2493.97100.08103.08
Payout Ratio67.28%71.82%76.37%80.91%85.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)49.1555.8763.2771.3980.3190.0795.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)51.9552.4552.94
Year 2 PV (M)54.7055.7456.80
Year 3 PV (M)57.3959.0460.72
Year 4 PV (M)60.0362.3464.71
Year 5 PV (M)62.6065.6368.77
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,873.381,963.862,057.81
Equity Value (M)2,160.062,259.062,361.74
Shares Outstanding (M)42.6842.6842.68
Fair Value$50.61$52.93$55.33
Upside / Downside35.35%41.56%47.99%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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