Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2.82 - $3.80 | $3.32 |
| Multi-Stage | $4.94 - $5.46 | $5.19 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4.26 | |
| Current Price | $9.43 | |
| Upside | -54.85% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -47.54% | -14.59% | 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.91 | 0.89 | 0.82 | 0.75 | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.53 | 1.20 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -95.58% | -25.48% | 1.98% | 9.04% | 8.49% | 5.37% | 11.83% | 20.94% | -55.93% | 727.40% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.36% | 8.27% | 4.84% | 3.21% | 2.07% | 3.43% | 1.81% | 1.06% | 0.89% | 3.49% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 12.52 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 0.34 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 12.18 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 2.50 | 1.56 | 0.94 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 12.18 | 12.18 | 12.18 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -2.50 | -1.56 | -0.94 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 9.68 | 10.62 | 11.24 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 20.03 | 20.03 | 20.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.48 | 0.53 | 0.56 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.50 | 0.55 | 0.58 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.65% | 9.65% | 9.65% |
| Growth Rate | -6.84% | -5.84% | -4.84% |
| Fair Value | $2.82 | $3.32 | $3.80 |
| Upside / Downside | -70.05% | -64.76% | -59.75% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 12.52 | 11.79 | 11.10 | 10.45 | 9.84 | 9.26 | 9.54 |
| Payout Ratio | 2.70% | 20.16% | 37.62% | 55.08% | 72.54% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 0.34 | 2.38 | 4.17 | 5.76 | 7.14 | 8.34 | 8.83 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.65% | 9.65% | 9.65% |
| Growth Rate | -6.84% | -5.84% | -4.84% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 2.14 | 2.17 | 2.19 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 3.40 | 3.47 | 3.55 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 4.23 | 4.37 | 4.51 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 4.73 | 4.94 | 5.15 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 4.99 | 5.26 | 5.55 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 79.45 | 83.81 | 88.35 |
| Equity Value (M) | 98.94 | 104.01 | 109.29 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 20.03 | 20.03 | 20.03 |
| Fair Value | $4.94 | $5.19 | $5.46 |
| Upside / Downside | -47.63% | -44.94% | -42.15% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |