Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1.29 - $1.68 | $1.49 |
| Multi-Stage | $2.91 - $3.22 | $3.06 |
| Blended Fair Value | $2.28 | |
| Current Price | $6.26 | |
| Upside | -63.61% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -30.29% | -17.08% | 0.19 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 1.15 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 9,300.00% | -92.86% | 0.00% | -85.26% | -83.36% | -9.22% | 0.64% | 2.29% | -1.93% | 1.80% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.46% | 0.04% | 0.66% | 0.41% | 5.40% | 45.50% | 10.40% | 4.95% | 4.86% | 9.67% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 20.60 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 13.30 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 7.30 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 4.12 | 2.58 | 1.55 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 7.30 | 7.30 | 7.30 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -4.12 | -2.58 | -1.55 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 3.18 | 4.73 | 5.76 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 49.80 | 49.80 | 49.80 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.27 | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.06 | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.33 | 0.36 | 0.38 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -13.18% | -12.18% | -11.18% |
| Fair Value | $1.29 | $1.49 | $1.68 |
| Upside / Downside | -79.40% | -76.14% | -73.23% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 20.60 | 18.09 | 15.89 | 13.95 | 12.25 | 10.76 | 11.08 |
| Payout Ratio | 64.56% | 69.65% | 74.74% | 79.83% | 84.91% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 13.30 | 12.60 | 11.87 | 11.14 | 10.40 | 9.68 | 10.25 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -13.18% | -12.18% | -11.18% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 11.42 | 11.55 | 11.68 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 9.75 | 9.98 | 10.20 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 8.29 | 8.58 | 8.87 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 7.02 | 7.34 | 7.68 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 5.92 | 6.27 | 6.63 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 102.72 | 108.77 | 115.11 |
| Equity Value (M) | 145.11 | 152.49 | 160.18 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 49.80 | 49.80 | 49.80 |
| Fair Value | $2.91 | $3.06 | $3.22 |
| Upside / Downside | -53.45% | -51.09% | -48.62% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |