Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $858.87 - $2,496.15 | $2,339.26 |
| Multi-Stage | $346.91 - $379.44 | $362.87 |
| Blended Fair Value | $1,351.07 | |
| Current Price | $95.68 | |
| Upside | 1,312.07% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 24.51% | 22.62% | 3.37 | 2.87 | 0.33 | 0.90 | 0.40 | 1.13 | 0.83 | 0.67 | 0.76 | 0.95 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 17.49% | 772.60% | -63.35% | 122.55% | -64.21% | 35.71% | 23.53% | -11.92% | -19.58% | 116.22% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.28% | 3.42% | 0.55% | 1.52% | 0.99% | 2.79% | 1.66% | 1.22% | 1.16% | 1.55% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 3,173.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 1,579.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 1,594.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 634.60 | 396.63 | 237.98 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 1,594.00 | 1,594.00 | 1,594.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -634.60 | -396.63 | -237.98 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 959.40 | 1,197.38 | 1,356.03 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 252.80 | 252.80 | 252.80 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 3.80 | 4.74 | 5.36 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 6.25 | 6.25 | 6.25 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 3.80 | 4.74 | 5.36 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 10.04 | 10.98 | 11.61 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.73% | 6.73% | 6.73% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $858.87 | $2,339.26 | $2,496.15 |
| Upside / Downside | 797.65% | 2,344.88% | 2,508.86% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 3,173.00 | 3,379.25 | 3,598.90 | 3,832.82 | 4,081.96 | 4,347.28 | 4,477.70 |
| Payout Ratio | 49.76% | 57.81% | 65.86% | 73.91% | 81.95% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 1,579.00 | 1,953.57 | 2,370.17 | 2,832.67 | 3,345.28 | 3,912.56 | 4,141.88 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.73% | 6.73% | 6.73% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 1,813.14 | 1,830.33 | 1,847.51 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 2,041.66 | 2,080.55 | 2,119.81 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 2,264.66 | 2,329.67 | 2,395.91 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 2,482.23 | 2,577.69 | 2,675.88 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 2,694.47 | 2,824.61 | 2,959.74 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 76,401.98 | 80,092.22 | 83,923.70 |
| Equity Value (M) | 87,698.14 | 91,735.07 | 95,922.55 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 252.80 | 252.80 | 252.80 |
| Fair Value | $346.91 | $362.87 | $379.44 |
| Upside / Downside | 262.57% | 279.26% | 296.57% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |