Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Mitra Pack Tbk (PTMP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34.50 - $53.15$43.17
Multi-Stage$79.05 - $86.88$82.89
Blended Fair Value$63.03
Current Price$95.00
Upside-33.65%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)10,916.54
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8,430.07
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,486.47
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,183.311,364.57818.74
Cash Retained (M)2,486.472,486.472,486.47
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,183.31-1,364.57-818.74
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.161,121.901,667.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,905.152,905.152,905.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.390.57
LTM Dividend per Share2.902.902.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.390.57
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.013.293.48
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$34.50$43.17$53.15
Upside / Downside-63.69%-54.55%-44.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)10,916.5410,807.3810,699.3010,592.3110,486.3910,381.5210,692.97
Payout Ratio77.22%79.78%82.33%84.89%87.44%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8,430.078,621.958,809.148,991.729,169.789,343.379,891.00

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8,010.998,092.738,174.48
Year 2 PV (M)7,604.927,760.927,918.50
Year 3 PV (M)7,212.497,435.547,663.15
Year 4 PV (M)6,834.117,117.357,409.31
Year 5 PV (M)6,470.056,806.967,157.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)193,516.62203,593.48214,085.82
Equity Value (M)229,649.18240,806.98252,409.00
Shares Outstanding (M)2,905.152,905.152,905.15
Fair Value$79.05$82.89$86.88
Upside / Downside-16.79%-12.75%-8.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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