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PTG Energy Public Company Limited (PTG-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.96 - $110.27$76.69
Multi-Stage$13.78 - $15.06$14.41
Blended Fair Value$45.55
Current Price$9.20
Upside395.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.61%24.57%0.450.200.450.490.400.200.170.200.300.15
YoY Growth--125.00%-55.56%-10.00%25.00%100.00%17.65%-15.00%-33.33%99.99%200.01%
Dividend Yield--6.55%2.26%3.18%3.67%1.92%2.04%1.67%1.16%1.26%1.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)935.55
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)584.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)351.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)187.11116.9470.17
Cash Retained (M)351.05351.05351.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-187.11-116.94-70.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)163.94234.10280.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,687.251,687.251,687.25
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.100.140.17
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.100.140.17
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.440.490.51
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$27.96$76.69$110.27
Upside / Downside203.92%733.62%1,098.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)935.55996.361,061.121,130.091,203.551,281.781,320.23
Payout Ratio62.48%67.98%73.49%78.99%84.50%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)584.50677.34779.78892.671,016.941,153.601,221.21

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)626.07632.00637.93
Year 2 PV (M)666.19678.88691.69
Year 3 PV (M)704.91725.15745.76
Year 4 PV (M)742.26770.80800.16
Year 5 PV (M)778.27815.86854.89
PV of Terminal Value (M)19,739.6620,693.0921,683.01
Equity Value (M)23,257.3524,315.7825,413.45
Shares Outstanding (M)1,687.251,687.251,687.25
Fair Value$13.78$14.41$15.06
Upside / Downside49.83%56.65%63.72%

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