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Definitive Analysis

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Planet Fitness, Inc. (PLNT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$60.96 - $175.59$95.53
Multi-Stage$39.71 - $43.45$41.54
Blended Fair Value$68.54
Current Price$103.80
Upside-33.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.022.011.66
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-98.83%20.92%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.06%10.43%10.24%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)205.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.17
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)41.1625.7215.43
Cash Retained (M)204.63204.63204.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-41.16-25.72-15.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)163.47178.90189.19
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)84.2084.2084.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.942.122.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.942.122.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.962.142.26
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$60.96$95.53$175.59
Upside / Downside-41.27%-7.96%69.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)205.80219.18233.42248.59264.75281.96290.42
Payout Ratio0.57%18.46%36.34%54.23%72.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.1740.4584.83134.81190.92253.77268.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.88%8.88%8.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)36.8037.1537.50
Year 2 PV (M)70.2171.5572.90
Year 3 PV (M)101.51104.43107.40
Year 4 PV (M)130.80135.83141.01
Year 5 PV (M)158.17165.81173.74
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,845.622,983.073,125.77
Equity Value (M)3,343.123,497.843,658.32
Shares Outstanding (M)84.2084.2084.20
Fair Value$39.71$41.54$43.45
Upside / Downside-61.75%-59.98%-58.14%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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