Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $1.18 - $1.68 | $1.43 |
| Multi-Stage | $3.34 - $3.68 | $3.51 |
| Blended Fair Value | $2.47 | |
| Current Price | $2.09 | |
| Upside | 18.03% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -31.47% | -26.67% | 0.03 | 0.10 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.12 | 0.17 | 0.22 | 0.39 | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -75.54% | -64.25% | -6.94% | 149.72% | -25.64% | -23.65% | -43.89% | 0.32% | 1.48% | -31.79% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.20% | 5.81% | 7.03% | 7.06% | 3.64% | 6.16% | 4.11% | 5.89% | 6.68% | 9.20% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 13.73 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 9.66 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 4.07 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 2.75 | 1.72 | 1.03 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 4.07 | 4.07 | 4.07 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -2.75 | -1.72 | -1.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1.32 | 2.35 | 3.04 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 75.48 | 75.48 | 75.48 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.02 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.15 | 0.16 | 0.17 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.45% | 6.45% | 6.45% |
| Growth Rate | -5.23% | -4.23% | -3.23% |
| Fair Value | $1.18 | $1.43 | $1.68 |
| Upside / Downside | -43.52% | -31.72% | -19.53% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 13.73 | 13.15 | 12.59 | 12.06 | 11.55 | 11.06 | 11.39 |
| Payout Ratio | 70.38% | 74.31% | 78.23% | 82.15% | 86.08% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 9.66 | 9.77 | 9.85 | 9.91 | 9.94 | 9.95 | 10.54 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.45% | 6.45% | 6.45% |
| Growth Rate | -5.23% | -4.23% | -3.23% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 9.08 | 9.18 | 9.27 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 8.51 | 8.69 | 8.87 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 7.96 | 8.21 | 8.47 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 7.42 | 7.74 | 8.07 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 6.91 | 7.28 | 7.67 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 212.15 | 223.58 | 235.50 |
| Equity Value (M) | 252.03 | 264.68 | 277.86 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 75.48 | 75.48 | 75.48 |
| Fair Value | $3.34 | $3.51 | $3.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 59.75% | 67.77% | 76.12% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |