Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Orthex Oyj (ORTHEX.HE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.37 - $5.20$4.22
Multi-Stage$7.72 - $8.49$8.09
Blended Fair Value$6.16
Current Price$4.60
Upside33.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.210.110.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--90.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--4.12%1.77%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)6.44
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.71
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.290.800.48
Cash Retained (M)2.712.712.71
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.29-0.80-0.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.421.902.23
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)17.7617.7617.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.080.110.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.210.210.21
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.080.110.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.37$4.22$5.20
Upside / Downside-26.84%-8.31%13.10%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)6.446.376.316.256.186.126.31
Payout Ratio57.93%64.34%70.76%77.17%83.59%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.734.104.464.825.175.515.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.44%6.44%6.44%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3.813.853.89
Year 2 PV (M)3.863.944.02
Year 3 PV (M)3.884.004.12
Year 4 PV (M)3.874.034.19
Year 5 PV (M)3.834.034.24
PV of Terminal Value (M)117.77123.91130.29
Equity Value (M)137.02143.75150.75
Shares Outstanding (M)17.7617.7617.76
Fair Value$7.72$8.09$8.49
Upside / Downside67.73%75.97%84.54%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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