Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Fiducial Real Estate S.A. (ORIA.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$355.73 - $653.78$478.73
Multi-Stage$590.11 - $648.55$618.77
Blended Fair Value$548.75
Current Price$173.00
Upside217.20%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.67%20.82%3.302.752.510.060.051.901.731.700.630.55
YoY Growth--20.00%9.68%4,192.91%17.50%-97.38%10.00%1.58%170.42%15.00%9.82%
Dividend Yield--1.86%1.48%1.33%0.03%0.03%1.00%0.91%0.96%0.53%0.47%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.40
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)42.60
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.887.434.46
Cash Retained (M)42.6042.6042.60
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.88-7.43-4.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.7235.1838.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.412.412.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share12.7314.5715.80
LTM Dividend per Share6.966.966.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share12.7314.5715.80
(=) Adjusted Dividend19.6921.5322.76
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Fair Value$355.73$478.73$653.78
Upside / Downside105.63%176.72%277.91%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.4060.5061.6162.7563.9165.0967.04
Payout Ratio28.28%40.62%52.97%65.31%77.66%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.8024.5832.6440.9849.6358.5862.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate0.84%1.84%2.84%
Year 1 PV (M)22.8723.0923.32
Year 2 PV (M)28.2528.8129.38
Year 3 PV (M)33.0134.0035.01
Year 4 PV (M)37.1938.6940.23
Year 5 PV (M)40.8442.9145.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,262.371,326.211,392.61
Equity Value (M)1,424.521,493.711,565.61
Shares Outstanding (M)2.412.412.41
Fair Value$590.11$618.77$648.55
Upside / Downside241.10%257.67%274.89%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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