Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $90.54 - $152.06 | $117.51 |
| Multi-Stage | $109.89 - $120.56 | $115.12 |
| Blended Fair Value | $116.32 | |
| Current Price | $73.91 | |
| Upside | 57.38% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 2.86% | 1.36% | 0.60 | 0.57 | 0.62 | 1.71 | 1.63 | 0.52 | 0.51 | 0.51 | 0.52 | 0.53 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 6.09% | -8.40% | -63.77% | 4.66% | 212.55% | 1.90% | -0.05% | -0.87% | -2.01% | 0.42% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 1.01% | 1.45% | 1.58% | 3.93% | 4.08% | 2.65% | 1.95% | 1.99% | 3.03% | 3.35% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 84.77 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 7.54 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 77.23 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 16.95 | 10.60 | 6.36 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 77.23 | 77.23 | 77.23 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -16.95 | -10.60 | -6.36 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 60.27 | 66.63 | 70.87 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 11.37 | 11.37 | 11.37 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 5.30 | 5.86 | 6.23 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.66 | 0.66 | 0.66 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 5.30 | 5.86 | 6.23 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 5.97 | 6.53 | 6.90 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.57% | 8.57% | 8.57% |
| Growth Rate | 1.86% | 2.86% | 3.86% |
| Fair Value | $90.54 | $117.51 | $152.06 |
| Upside / Downside | 22.50% | 58.99% | 105.73% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 84.77 | 87.19 | 89.68 | 92.25 | 94.88 | 97.59 | 100.52 |
| Payout Ratio | 8.90% | 25.12% | 41.34% | 57.56% | 73.78% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 7.54 | 21.90 | 37.07 | 53.10 | 70.00 | 87.83 | 92.98 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.57% | 8.57% | 8.57% |
| Growth Rate | 1.86% | 2.86% | 3.86% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 19.98 | 20.17 | 20.37 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 30.84 | 31.45 | 32.07 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 40.29 | 41.49 | 42.71 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 48.45 | 50.38 | 52.37 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 55.45 | 58.23 | 61.11 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,054.08 | 1,106.85 | 1,161.71 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,249.10 | 1,308.58 | 1,370.35 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 11.37 | 11.37 | 11.37 |
| Fair Value | $109.89 | $115.12 | $120.56 |
| Upside / Downside | 48.68% | 55.76% | 63.12% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |