Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Onde S.A. (OND.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.40 - $70.26$65.85
Multi-Stage$10.95 - $11.97$11.45
Blended Fair Value$38.65
Current Price$9.97
Upside287.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018
DPS22.89%0.00%0.310.000.000.590.370.110.180.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%-100.00%61.36%233.34%-40.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.64%0.00%0.00%3.12%1.31%0.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19.35
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.872.421.45
Cash Retained (M)2.452.452.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.87-2.42-1.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.420.031.00
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.7754.7754.77
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.030.000.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.280.310.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$32.40$65.85$70.26
Upside / Downside225.02%560.45%604.75%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19.3520.6121.9523.3724.8926.5127.31
Payout Ratio87.35%87.88%88.41%88.94%89.47%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.9018.1119.4020.7922.2723.8625.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16.8617.0217.18
Year 2 PV (M)16.8117.1317.46
Year 3 PV (M)16.7717.2517.74
Year 4 PV (M)16.7217.3618.03
Year 5 PV (M)16.6717.4818.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)516.12541.05566.93
Equity Value (M)599.95627.29655.65
Shares Outstanding (M)54.7754.7754.77
Fair Value$10.95$11.45$11.97
Upside / Downside9.87%14.88%20.07%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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