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Definitive Analysis

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Oracle Financial Services Software Limited (OFSS.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6,663.58 - $19,048.07$10,420.52
Multi-Stage$5,855.57 - $6,390.25$6,118.05
Blended Fair Value$8,269.28
Current Price$8,403.00
Upside-1.59%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS256.60%-6.56%238.29222.87188.01197.68177.130.41127.40165.7397.17174.42
YoY Growth--6.92%18.54%-4.89%11.60%42,766.71%-99.68%-23.13%70.56%-44.29%-62.87%
Dividend Yield--2.65%2.19%4.87%6.38%4.85%0.01%4.03%4.07%2.69%5.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23,732.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)23,027.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)705.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,746.402,966.501,779.90
Cash Retained (M)705.00705.00705.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,746.40-2,966.50-1,779.90
(=) Excess Retained (M)-4,041.40-2,261.50-1,074.90
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)87.3287.3287.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share-46.29-25.90-12.31
LTM Dividend per Share263.72263.72263.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share-46.29-25.90-12.31
(=) Adjusted Dividend217.44237.82251.41
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Fair Value$6,663.58$10,420.52$19,048.07
Upside / Downside-20.70%24.01%126.68%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23,732.0024,985.5026,305.2027,694.6129,157.4030,697.4631,618.39
Payout Ratio97.03%95.62%94.22%92.81%91.41%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)23,027.0023,892.0024,784.1325,703.8426,651.5827,627.7229,247.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.68%7.68%7.68%
Growth Rate4.28%5.28%6.28%
Year 1 PV (M)21,976.2622,187.0022,397.74
Year 2 PV (M)20,968.9321,373.0221,780.96
Year 3 PV (M)20,003.3220,584.3121,176.45
Year 4 PV (M)19,077.8019,820.1720,584.00
Year 5 PV (M)18,190.7919,079.8720,003.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)411,063.11431,153.98452,022.85
Equity Value (M)511,280.20534,198.35557,965.37
Shares Outstanding (M)87.3287.3287.32
Fair Value$5,855.57$6,118.05$6,390.25
Upside / Downside-30.32%-27.19%-23.95%

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