Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $4.01 - $21.84 | $7.28 |
| Multi-Stage | $3.14 - $3.43 | $3.28 |
| Blended Fair Value | $5.28 | |
| Current Price | $1.49 | |
| Upside | 254.26% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 5.78% | 3.77% | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.04 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 1.64% | 3.42% | 23.70% | -11.35% | 14.91% | -26.62% | 8.72% | 0.06% | 1.64% | 34.69% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 3.53% | 4.66% | 4.06% | 2.23% | 2.33% | 2.91% | 5.35% | 4.44% | 4.74% | 4.57% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 40.41 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 31.30 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 9.11 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 8.08 | 5.05 | 3.03 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 9.11 | 9.11 | 9.11 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -8.08 | -5.05 | -3.03 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1.03 | 4.06 | 6.08 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 329.80 | 329.80 | 329.80 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.02 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.10 | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.90% | 6.90% | 6.90% |
| Growth Rate | 4.35% | 5.35% | 6.35% |
| Fair Value | $4.01 | $7.28 | $21.84 |
| Upside / Downside | 169.01% | 388.47% | 1,365.91% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 40.41 | 42.57 | 44.85 | 47.25 | 49.78 | 52.44 | 54.01 |
| Payout Ratio | 77.46% | 79.97% | 82.47% | 84.98% | 87.49% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 31.30 | 34.04 | 36.99 | 40.15 | 43.55 | 47.19 | 49.96 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.90% | 6.90% | 6.90% |
| Growth Rate | 4.35% | 5.35% | 6.35% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 31.54 | 31.84 | 32.15 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 31.75 | 32.37 | 32.98 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 31.94 | 32.87 | 33.81 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 32.10 | 33.35 | 34.63 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 32.23 | 33.80 | 35.44 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 874.47 | 917.18 | 961.55 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,034.03 | 1,081.41 | 1,130.56 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 329.80 | 329.80 | 329.80 |
| Fair Value | $3.14 | $3.28 | $3.43 |
| Upside / Downside | 110.42% | 120.06% | 130.07% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |