Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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FIZIKA Scientific and Production Association Open Joint-Stock Company (NPOF.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$17,260.52 - $25,966.64$21,376.51
Multi-Stage$21,865.87 - $24,002.53$22,913.87
Blended Fair Value$22,145.19
Current Price$11,850.00
Upside86.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2021202020192018201720162015201420122011
DPS130.07%0.00%935.6224.4038.7044.1518.1514.5118.5625.850.000.00
YoY Growth--3,735.20%-36.96%-12.35%143.28%25.04%-21.79%-28.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--7.90%0.21%0.33%0.37%0.15%0.12%0.16%0.22%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)179.22
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.40
(=) Cash Retained (M)175.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.8422.4013.44
Cash Retained (M)175.82175.82175.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.84-22.40-13.44
(=) Excess Retained (M)139.98153.42162.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.090.090.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,550.791,699.711,798.99
LTM Dividend per Share37.6537.6537.65
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,550.791,699.711,798.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,588.441,737.361,836.64
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate0.55%1.55%2.55%
Fair Value$17,260.52$21,376.51$25,966.64
Upside / Downside45.66%80.39%119.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)179.22182.00184.83187.70190.61193.57199.38
Payout Ratio1.90%19.52%37.14%54.76%72.38%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.4035.5268.64102.78137.97174.22184.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.81%9.81%9.81%
Growth Rate0.55%1.55%2.55%
Year 1 PV (M)32.0332.3532.67
Year 2 PV (M)55.8156.9358.06
Year 3 PV (M)75.3677.6379.95
Year 4 PV (M)91.2194.9098.69
Year 5 PV (M)103.86109.13114.61
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,615.381,697.311,782.55
Equity Value (M)1,973.662,068.252,166.52
Shares Outstanding (M)0.090.090.09
Fair Value$21,865.87$22,913.87$24,002.53
Upside / Downside84.52%93.37%102.55%

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