Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $25.01 - $36.84 | $30.69 |
| Multi-Stage | $39.48 - $43.25 | $41.33 |
| Blended Fair Value | $36.01 | |
| Current Price | $79.50 | |
| Upside | -54.70% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -2.73% | 4.51% | 3.37 | 3.36 | 3.48 | 3.94 | 4.19 | 3.87 | 3.56 | 3.30 | 2.98 | 2.68 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 0.17% | -3.42% | -11.55% | -6.00% | 8.26% | 8.68% | 8.07% | 10.66% | 10.95% | 23.85% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.56% | 5.45% | 6.75% | 6.67% | 5.80% | 7.82% | 4.55% | 4.90% | 4.10% | 4.04% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 147.26 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 80.38 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 66.88 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 29.45 | 18.41 | 11.04 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 66.88 | 66.88 | 66.88 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -29.45 | -18.41 | -11.04 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 37.43 | 48.47 | 55.83 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 46.44 | 46.44 | 46.44 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.81 | 1.04 | 1.20 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 1.73 | 1.73 | 1.73 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.81 | 1.04 | 1.20 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 2.54 | 2.77 | 2.93 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -0.95% | 0.05% | 1.05% |
| Fair Value | $25.01 | $30.69 | $36.84 |
| Upside / Downside | -68.54% | -61.40% | -53.66% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 147.26 | 147.33 | 147.41 | 147.49 | 147.57 | 147.65 | 152.07 |
| Payout Ratio | 54.58% | 61.67% | 68.75% | 75.83% | 82.92% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 80.38 | 90.86 | 101.35 | 111.85 | 122.36 | 132.88 | 140.67 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.10% | 9.10% | 9.10% |
| Growth Rate | -0.95% | 0.05% | 1.05% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 82.45 | 83.28 | 84.11 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 83.45 | 85.15 | 86.86 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 83.58 | 86.13 | 88.74 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 82.97 | 86.37 | 89.88 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 81.76 | 85.98 | 90.36 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,419.43 | 1,492.54 | 1,568.64 |
| Equity Value (M) | 1,833.64 | 1,919.45 | 2,008.59 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 46.44 | 46.44 | 46.44 |
| Fair Value | $39.48 | $41.33 | $43.25 |
| Upside / Downside | -50.33% | -48.01% | -45.60% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |