Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Precious Metals and Mining Trust (MMP-UN.TO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.03 - $1.32$1.18
Multi-Stage$2.94 - $3.30$3.11
Blended Fair Value$2.15
Current Price$2.25
Upside-4.46%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.87%-19.17%0.120.130.140.150.190.220.430.430.350.29
YoY Growth---8.25%-8.92%-9.07%-17.06%-15.66%-48.57%-0.69%23.63%20.96%-70.68%
Dividend Yield--6.59%7.66%7.76%7.05%8.27%13.88%30.88%21.40%13.34%18.18%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.96
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.08
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.990.620.37
Cash Retained (M)3.083.083.08
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.99-0.62-0.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.092.462.71
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.7110.7110.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
LTM Dividend per Share0.170.170.17
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.200.230.25
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.370.410.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-21.17%-20.17%-19.17%
Fair Value$1.03$1.18$1.32
Upside / Downside-54.15%-47.35%-41.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.963.963.162.522.011.611.65
Payout Ratio37.80%48.24%58.68%69.12%79.56%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.871.911.851.741.601.451.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-21.17%-20.17%-19.17%
Year 1 PV (M)1.761.781.80
Year 2 PV (M)1.571.611.66
Year 3 PV (M)1.361.421.47
Year 4 PV (M)1.161.221.28
Year 5 PV (M)0.961.021.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)24.6826.2927.98
Equity Value (M)31.5033.3435.28
Shares Outstanding (M)10.7110.7110.71
Fair Value$2.94$3.11$3.30
Upside / Downside30.77%38.43%46.45%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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