Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Multikarya Asia Pasifik Raya Tb (MKAP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Oil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSector: Energy

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$111.91 - $163.70$136.89
Multi-Stage$192.23 - $211.43$201.64
Blended Fair Value$169.27
Current Price$342.00
Upside-50.51%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.001.690.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%1.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,962.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,743.54
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,218.98
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,592.515,995.323,597.19
Cash Retained (M)38,218.9838,218.9838,218.98
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,592.51-5,995.32-3,597.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)28,626.4832,223.6734,621.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,250.003,250.003,250.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.819.9110.65
LTM Dividend per Share3.003.003.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.819.9110.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.8112.9113.65
WACC / Discount Rate8.34%8.34%8.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$111.91$136.89$163.70
Upside / Downside-67.28%-59.97%-52.13%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,962.5347,482.9047,008.0746,537.9946,072.6145,611.8846,980.24
Payout Ratio20.31%34.25%48.19%62.13%76.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,743.5416,263.8122,652.6928,912.1735,044.2041,050.7043,456.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.34%8.34%8.34%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)14,860.3315,011.9715,163.60
Year 2 PV (M)18,911.7819,299.7119,691.57
Year 3 PV (M)22,054.6322,736.6823,432.65
Year 4 PV (M)24,425.3825,437.7026,481.17
Year 5 PV (M)26,142.8027,504.1228,921.56
PV of Terminal Value (M)518,362.76545,355.12573,460.38
Equity Value (M)624,757.69655,345.29687,150.93
Shares Outstanding (M)3,250.003,250.003,250.00
Fair Value$192.23$201.64$211.43
Upside / Downside-43.79%-41.04%-38.18%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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