Definitive Analysis
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PT Perusahaan Perkebunan London Sumatra Indonesia Tbk (LSIP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural Farm ProductsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5,725.71 - $13,415.39$8,414.02
Multi-Stage$7,469.26 - $8,201.90$7,828.62
Blended Fair Value$8,121.32
Current Price$1,355.00
Upside499.36%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS15.47%-1.64%38.9952.9950.9919.9915.0019.0044.9934.9936.9952.98
YoY Growth---26.41%3.92%155.00%33.33%-21.05%-57.78%28.57%-5.41%-30.19%15.22%
Dividend Yield--3.51%5.89%5.00%1.41%1.17%2.26%4.30%2.70%2.52%2.91%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,920,935.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)443,234.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,477,701.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)384,187.00240,116.88144,070.13
Cash Retained (M)1,477,701.001,477,701.001,477,701.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-384,187.00-240,116.88-144,070.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,093,514.001,237,584.131,333,630.88
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6,819.966,819.966,819.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share160.34181.46195.55
LTM Dividend per Share64.9964.9964.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share160.34181.46195.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend225.33246.46260.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate2.28%3.28%4.28%
Fair Value$5,725.71$8,414.02$13,415.39
Upside / Downside322.56%520.96%890.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,920,935.001,983,999.032,049,133.442,116,406.212,185,887.532,257,649.912,325,379.41
Payout Ratio23.07%36.46%49.84%63.23%76.61%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)443,234.00723,348.071,021,376.641,338,194.061,674,712.782,031,884.922,150,975.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate2.28%3.28%4.28%
Year 1 PV (M)673,837.16680,425.13687,013.09
Year 2 PV (M)886,341.68903,757.57921,342.90
Year 3 PV (M)1,081,787.541,113,828.011,146,494.97
Year 4 PV (M)1,261,161.881,311,210.401,362,733.95
Year 5 PV (M)1,425,401.581,496,456.751,570,317.73
PV of Terminal Value (M)45,611,543.6547,885,244.1750,248,727.76
Equity Value (M)50,940,073.4953,390,922.0255,936,630.40
Shares Outstanding (M)6,819.966,819.966,819.96
Fair Value$7,469.26$7,828.62$8,201.90
Upside / Downside451.24%477.76%505.31%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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