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lastminute.com N.V. (LMN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel ServicesSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$13.87 - $21.19$17.29
Multi-Stage$29.66 - $32.64$31.12
Blended Fair Value$24.21
Current Price$17.33
Upside39.68%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.620.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.58%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)16.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)9.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3.312.071.24
Cash Retained (M)9.979.979.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-3.31-2.07-1.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)6.667.908.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.6810.6810.68
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.620.740.82
LTM Dividend per Share0.620.620.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.620.740.82
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.241.361.43
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$13.87$17.29$21.19
Upside / Downside-19.99%-0.22%22.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)16.5716.4016.2416.0715.9115.7616.23
Payout Ratio39.82%49.86%59.89%69.93%79.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.608.189.7211.2412.7314.1815.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.77%6.77%6.77%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7.587.667.74
Year 2 PV (M)8.368.538.70
Year 3 PV (M)8.969.249.52
Year 4 PV (M)9.409.7910.19
Year 5 PV (M)9.7110.2210.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)272.79287.00301.79
Equity Value (M)316.81332.43348.69
Shares Outstanding (M)10.6810.6810.68
Fair Value$29.66$31.12$32.64
Upside / Downside71.14%79.58%88.36%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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