Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $66.45 - $250.21 | $111.77 |
| Multi-Stage | $42.22 - $46.14 | $44.15 |
| Blended Fair Value | $77.96 | |
| Current Price | $87.51 | |
| Upside | -10.91% | |
| Decision | Don't Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 16.37% | 20.07% | 0.62 | 0.53 | 0.47 | 0.40 | 0.33 | 0.29 | 0.23 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 0.12 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 15.50% | 13.29% | 17.69% | 21.33% | 14.24% | 23.71% | 30.29% | 25.76% | 16.80% | 23.27% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 0.74% | 0.81% | 0.92% | 0.86% | 0.68% | 1.16% | 0.76% | 0.50% | 0.58% | 0.79% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 53.34 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 17.17 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 36.16 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 10.67 | 6.67 | 4.00 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 36.16 | 36.16 | 36.16 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -10.67 | -6.67 | -4.00 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 25.50 | 29.50 | 32.16 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 23.27 | 23.27 | 23.27 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.74 | 0.74 | 0.74 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1.38 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 1.83 | 2.01 | 2.12 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.41% | 8.41% | 8.41% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $66.45 | $111.77 | $250.21 |
| Upside / Downside | -24.06% | 27.73% | 185.92% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 53.34 | 56.80 | 60.50 | 64.43 | 68.61 | 73.07 | 75.27 |
| Payout Ratio | 32.20% | 43.76% | 55.32% | 66.88% | 78.44% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 17.17 | 24.86 | 33.46 | 43.09 | 53.82 | 65.77 | 69.62 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 8.41% | 8.41% | 8.41% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 22.71 | 22.93 | 23.14 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 27.94 | 28.47 | 29.01 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 32.87 | 33.82 | 34.78 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 37.52 | 38.96 | 40.45 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 41.89 | 43.92 | 46.02 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 819.66 | 859.25 | 900.35 |
| Equity Value (M) | 982.60 | 1,027.35 | 1,073.75 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 23.27 | 23.27 | 23.27 |
| Fair Value | $42.22 | $44.15 | $46.14 |
| Upside / Downside | -51.75% | -49.55% | -47.27% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |