Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $47.37 - $90.35 | $84.67 |
| Multi-Stage | $14.58 - $15.93 | $15.24 |
| Blended Fair Value | $49.96 | |
| Current Price | $3.51 | |
| Upside | 1,323.30% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 59.18% | 32.56% | 0.12 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.08 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 835.82% | -82.09% | 1.17% | -12.97% | 592.56% | -6.56% | 0.00% | 59.29% | 10.24% | -0.07% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 4.17% | 0.47% | 2.75% | 2.94% | 3.05% | 0.39% | 0.50% | 0.57% | 0.38% | 0.43% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 7.78 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 6.91 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 0.86 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1.56 | 0.97 | 0.58 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 0.86 | 0.86 | 0.86 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1.56 | -0.97 | -0.58 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -0.69 | -0.11 | 0.28 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 17.12 | 17.12 | 17.12 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -0.04 | -0.01 | 0.02 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 0.40 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -0.04 | -0.01 | 0.02 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 0.36 | 0.40 | 0.42 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $47.37 | $84.67 | $90.35 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,249.47% | 2,312.35% | 2,474.15% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 7.78 | 8.28 | 8.82 | 9.40 | 10.01 | 10.66 | 10.98 |
| Payout Ratio | 88.89% | 89.11% | 89.33% | 89.56% | 89.78% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 6.91 | 7.38 | 7.88 | 8.41 | 8.98 | 9.59 | 10.15 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.31% | 6.31% | 6.31% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 6.88 | 6.94 | 7.01 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 6.84 | 6.97 | 7.10 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 6.81 | 7.00 | 7.20 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 6.77 | 7.03 | 7.30 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 6.74 | 7.06 | 7.40 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 215.52 | 225.93 | 236.74 |
| Equity Value (M) | 249.56 | 260.95 | 272.75 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 17.12 | 17.12 | 17.12 |
| Fair Value | $14.58 | $15.24 | $15.93 |
| Upside / Downside | 315.29% | 334.24% | 353.89% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LZOEX | Lazard Emerging Markets Equity Portfolio | 0.09% | $0.02 | 36.87% |
| PWR | Quanta Services, Inc. | 0.09% | $0.39 | 5.78% |
| AAMI | Acadian Asset Management | 0.08% | $0.04 | 1.59% |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group, Inc. | 0.08% | $0.01 | 1.31% |
| VRT | Vertiv Holdings Co | 0.08% | $0.15 | 5.48% |
| 0J46.L | HEICO Corporation | 0.07% | $0.23 | 4.98% |
| 0JYM.L | Markel Corporation | 0.07% | $1.41 | 0.87% |
| CHCI | Comstock Holding Companies, Inc. | 0.06% | $0.01 | 0.56% |
| MTVC | Motive Capital Corp II | 0.06% | $0.01 | 2.21% |
| ENJ | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| ENO | Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.50% Series due April 1, 2066 | 0.05% | $0.01 | 0.31% |
| AJRD | Aerojet Rocketdyne Holdings, Inc. | 0.04% | $0.02 | 2.70% |
| ERES | East Resources Acquisition Company | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.55% |
| NBN | Northeast Bank | 0.04% | $0.04 | 0.38% |
| ARHS | Arhaus, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.61% |
| BSIG | BrightSphere Investment Group Inc. | 0.03% | $0.01 | 0.34% |
| EWCZ | European Wax Center, Inc. | 0.03% | $0.00 | 0.37% |
| WIRE | Encore Wire Corporation | 0.03% | $0.08 | 0.42% |
| ACFN | Acorn Energy, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.09% |
| ACMR | ACM Research, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.01 | 0.62% |
| CFB | CrossFirst Bankshares, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.21% |
| FDSB | Fifth District Savings Bank | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.35% |
| GRDN | Guardian Pharmacy Services, Inc. | 0.02% | $0.00 | 0.75% |
| NVDA | NVIDIA Corporation | 0.02% | $0.04 | 0.98% |
| AMG | Affiliated Managers Group, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.04 | 0.23% |
| BSX-PA | Boston Scientific Corporation | 0.01% | $0.02 | 0.82% |
| FIGR | Figure Technology Solutions, Inc. Class A Common Stock | 0.01% | $0.00 | 2.22% |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.18% |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.22% |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.01 | 0.57% |
| SUM | Summit Materials, Inc. | 0.01% | $0.00 | 0.32% |
| BE | Bloom Energy Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 6.20% |
| BJRI | BJ's Restaurants, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.01% |
| CXW | CoreCivic, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| INFA | Informatica Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.10% |
| MMMB | MamaMancini's Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| PMO | Putnam Municipal Opportunities Trust | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.05% |
| SENEA | Seneca Foods Corporation | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.04% |
| SLCA | U.S. Silica Holdings, Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.02% |
| UNIT | Uniti Group Inc. | 0.00% | $0.00 | 0.00% |