Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kri-Kri Milk Industry S.A. (KRI.AT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$33.56 - $167.03$70.36
Multi-Stage$18.50 - $20.22$19.34
Blended Fair Value$44.85
Current Price$18.92
Upside137.04%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.46%0.00%0.350.200.200.210.170.150.100.080.050.05
YoY Growth--75.10%-0.01%-5.27%25.02%12.48%51.70%26.69%43.99%-0.12%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.19%1.77%3.16%2.93%2.26%3.52%2.03%2.06%2.78%3.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)27.68
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)11.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)16.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.543.462.08
Cash Retained (M)16.1016.1016.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.54-3.46-2.08
(=) Excess Retained (M)10.5712.6514.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)32.9532.9532.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.320.380.43
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.320.380.43
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.670.730.78
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$33.56$70.36$167.03
Upside / Downside77.36%271.86%782.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)27.6829.4731.3933.4335.6037.9239.06
Payout Ratio41.81%51.45%61.09%70.72%80.36%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)11.5715.1619.1823.6428.6134.1336.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.61%7.61%7.61%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)13.9614.0914.22
Year 2 PV (M)16.2516.5616.87
Year 3 PV (M)18.4418.9719.51
Year 4 PV (M)20.5521.3422.15
Year 5 PV (M)22.5623.6524.78
PV of Terminal Value (M)517.73542.74568.70
Equity Value (M)609.48637.34666.23
Shares Outstanding (M)32.9532.9532.95
Fair Value$18.50$19.34$20.22
Upside / Downside-2.24%2.23%6.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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