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Kasikornbank Public Company Limited (KBANK-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$402.61 - $889.19$579.82
Multi-Stage$476.66 - $522.03$498.92
Blended Fair Value$539.37
Current Price$167.50
Upside222.01%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.17%7.81%7.504.003.253.004.504.044.044.044.044.04
YoY Growth--87.50%23.08%8.33%-33.33%11.37%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%14.29%
Dividend Yield--4.64%3.23%2.45%1.86%3.10%4.42%2.17%1.91%2.14%2.34%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)49,780.89
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)29,616.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)20,164.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,956.186,222.613,733.57
Cash Retained (M)20,164.2920,164.2920,164.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,956.18-6,222.61-3,733.57
(=) Excess Retained (M)10,208.1213,941.6816,430.73
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,369.332,369.332,369.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.315.886.93
LTM Dividend per Share12.5012.5012.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.315.886.93
(=) Adjusted Dividend16.8118.3819.43
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Fair Value$402.61$579.82$889.19
Upside / Downside140.37%246.16%430.86%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)49,780.8951,643.7553,576.3255,581.2157,661.1359,818.8861,613.44
Payout Ratio59.49%65.60%71.70%77.80%83.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)29,616.6033,875.7838,412.2643,240.8348,376.9853,836.9956,992.44

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate2.74%3.74%4.74%
Year 1 PV (M)31,345.2231,650.3131,955.39
Year 2 PV (M)32,887.7333,531.0534,180.59
Year 3 PV (M)34,256.2735,266.3036,295.98
Year 4 PV (M)35,462.3036,863.2238,305.24
Year 5 PV (M)36,516.6538,328.6840,211.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)958,885.651,006,467.601,055,919.97
Equity Value (M)1,129,353.821,182,107.151,236,869.13
Shares Outstanding (M)2,369.332,369.332,369.33
Fair Value$476.66$498.92$522.03
Upside / Downside184.57%197.86%211.66%

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